Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.059291 1.190034 1.332436 1.499345 1.689989 1.901375 2.154099
2026-02-01 0.817844 0.982088 1.174758 1.418545 1.720320 2.083579 2.556909
2026-02-08 0.670655 0.849006 1.070989 1.369840 1.765081 2.274646 2.989014
2026-02-15 0.571726 0.756001 0.996918 1.338620 1.816714 2.470669 3.448088
2026-02-22 0.520677 0.715628 0.981928 1.377812 1.960880 2.803128 4.139584
2026-03-01 0.472076 0.670822 0.952822 1.389647 2.062852 3.083823 4.793872
2026-03-08 0.421064 0.615670 0.900974 1.358974 2.093377 3.256096 5.299891
2026-03-15 0.378213 0.567348 0.852906 1.326374 2.113579 3.410201 5.793989
2026-03-22 0.362023 0.557489 0.861668 1.383186 2.283666 3.829914 6.811458
2026-03-29 0.344050 0.542637 0.860345 1.422135 2.426785 4.220444 7.838516
2026-04-05 0.326141 0.525887 0.853760 1.450467 2.553319 4.596287 8.898640
2026-04-12 0.305903 0.503220 0.834740 1.454166 2.634209 4.896064 9.854832
2026-04-19 0.281519 0.472371 0.800536 1.430015 2.666263 5.119096 10.721811
2026-04-26 0.254012 0.433784 0.749337 1.369041 2.619923 5.180747 11.253831
2026-05-03 0.232459 0.403916 0.711066 1.328519 2.609424 5.315456 11.981312
2026-05-10 0.214943 0.379834 0.681147 1.300895 2.621701 5.500409 12.866084
2026-05-17 0.207553 0.373772 0.684365 1.339940 2.780557 6.034366 14.732534
2026-05-24 0.197535 0.361824 0.675052 1.351866 2.881264 6.450488 16.386682
2026-05-31 0.183825 0.341610 0.647640 1.322306 2.883931 6.633096 17.446264
2026-06-07 0.171161 0.322444 0.620661 1.290761 2.877807 6.793038 18.478302
2026-06-14 0.168147 0.322237 0.632260 1.345897 3.086077 7.531069 21.396201
2026-06-21 0.163582 0.318479 0.636067 1.383686 3.257085 8.201520 24.284367
2026-06-28 0.158358 0.312918 0.635504 1.411167 3.405888 8.838050 27.236828